desh | (no subject)

(no subject)

If I had to guess right now, I'd go with 33% chance of Biden, 33% Kaine, 17% Sebelius, and 17% Clinton.

I'm not so sure about Sebelius, because I think if he went with her, he'd risk losing all the Clinton supporters he's trying so hard to win over (e.g., if you were gonna pick a woman, why not OUR woman).

So low for Sebelius? I'm almost convinced it's going to be her: she brings in the South, she has broad party appeal, and she is a woman (appealing to the Clinton voters) without being Clinton (which would open up an entire can of worms).

Biden brings in the foreign policy experience, which is good, but it would also skew the ticket to far-North, which I'm not convinced about.

I still think Sebelius is a valid Dark Horse. I'd give her an even 20%.

I like Biden, but it doesn't feel like a super fit to me, and I wouldn't be shocked if he was just a red herring.

I'm still holding out for my 1% chance of Wes Clark.

Bayh? I don't like him really, but those are the rumors I've been hearing.

I'm going to go out on a limb and guess Biden now.

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